March Madness Should be Back to Normal in 2021
It won’t be long before Selection Sunday is upon us and the 68-team field for March Madness 2021 is announced. If you’re like most bettors, you will get into a couple NCAA tournament pools as well as place bets on individual games and the eventual champion.
Here is how you can maximize your overall betting performance in March Madness 2021.
MARCH MADNESS 2021 IS AROUND THE CORNER
Bracket Pools
Most often, players in bracket pools get all excited about which upsets they are going to pick. This isn’t the best of strategies.
First, you’ll want to know how many players there are in your pool. If it’s an office pool with up 30 or 40 players, you are probably better off picking favorites. Winning a bracket pool comes down to picking the correct champion, not first- or second-round upsets.
In a pool of say 30, picking favorites – especially the overall champion – gives you the best chance at success because of the likelihood that no one else will follow the same strategy.
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Picking Upsets
Whether picking upsets in your pool or backing underdogs in individual games, some knowledge of betting history helps. The most number of upsets occurs in the No. 7-No. 10 game. The second-highest come from the No. 6-No. 11 game.
In the last 15 tournaments, at least one No. 11 seed has won a first-round game. What you should be looking for are undervalued power conference teams or undervalued mid-majors.
In the 2019 tournament, it was Ohio State. The Buckeyes got beat up in a strong Big Ten and entered the tournament as a No. 11 seed. They won their first round game.
This same logic applies when betting on individual games. A mid-major conference champion, for example, will likely play above its capability in NCAA tournament play. The tourney brings out the best in these types of teams. Look for value in point spreads or moneylines.
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March Madness 2021 Futures
Betting on the tournament champion or even regional champions can be profitable as well. What to consider is that in a given year teams that make the Final Four are usually one of the top six seeds. Breaking it down further, you will find that it is typically a No. 1, 2, 3 or 4 seed that winds up playing for a national championship.
Since the NCAA expanded the tournament in 1985, there have been only 14 instances where a team seeded lower than No. 6 made it to the Final Four. The lowest seed is No. 11, which has occurred four times.
The lowest seed to ever win a national championship is No. 8. That was Villanova in 1985. More often than not, a top four seed will win the national title. In the last three tournaments, for example, the champion was a No. 1 seed.
Whether it is a March Madness bracket pool or bets on individual games or even props, do your homework. Having the right information is key to making sound betting decisions. Don’t forget to shop around for the best prices in maximizing March Madness 2021.
